Showing posts with label Cash Flow. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cash Flow. Show all posts

Monday, December 27, 2010

Johnson & Johnson Analysis

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Johnson & Johnson is a member of the Dividend Aristocrat list, meaning they have paid and increased their divided for 25+ Years consecutively.  As a dividend investor - this is only phenomenal news as your cash flow stream from owning their stock has a consistency of getting yearly raises!

To start the analysis, I would like to look at their price: as of December 27th 2010 at 1:33 PM they are trading at $61.96.   Their 52 week high is $66.20, giving a 6.8% chance of appreciation on the pricing giving its most recent high.  Their low is just a tad over $56 over the prior 52 weeks.  Therefore, it is somewhere in between.  I believe with JNJ (Johnson & Johnson), price is not necessarily the most important thing as you invest for cash flow, and their cash flow always grows every year.  Basically, invest into JNJ for Cash flow, DRIP it and you will see a marvelous performance throughout the years of owning the stock.

Price to Earnings Ratio:  JNJ has a current 12.73 P/E ratio, well below the S&P average and according to Morning star it is below the 14 P/E for the industry average.  Therefore, JNJ's stock is relatively cheap to its earnings and is currently undervalued against the average of both the industry and S&P index.

Dividend Yield: My favorite part.  Their current dividend yield when trading at $61.96 is 3.49%.  I know, you may be thinking that is small and not an extremely large dividend yield, but I think it is just perfect.  You would be getting a greater payout than the current government treasury yield, which is what I always look for.  Also, as stated in the very first paragraph, JNJ has consistently paid an increasing dividend for over 25 years!!  This is the most important part, because not only are they constantly increasing their dividend every year, but their share price continually goes up, therefore keeping their dividend yield at lower levels.  In fact, their dividend yield growth rate is an astounding 14.58%!  Therefore, you get (on average) a 14.58% increase yearly to your dividend cash flow from JNJ.  How many jobs have you had that give you a 14.58 increase every year on average?

Payout Ratio:  Their dividend is $2.16 per year and their EPS is $4.87.  Therefore, 2.16/4.87 = 44.25%, a perfect payout ratio.  It falls right in between my preferred 40-60% payout ratio, showing that it keeps some earnings for growth but gives a nice portion in dividends.

Conclusion:  Johnson and Johnson is a great first stock to place in your portfolio.  They are one of the most consistent stocks giving their aristocrat status, their brand recognition and the soundness of the company.  They are a great stock to own for its cash flow as they have recorded past history of amazing returns on their stock price and once placed into a Dividend Reinvestment Plan account, you can increase your cash flow dramatically year after year.  At the given price, I would start a position in Johnson and Johnson based on their dividend growth alone.

-Lanny B.

Disclosure: I do not hold nor recommend anything.  This is actual data, analysis, however I base no investor recommendation.  However, I personally would add/start a position on this firm, however my direction is different from anyone else's.  Thank you for your understanding.

Sunday, December 19, 2010

You Can Always Upgrade

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Another great benefit to being a dividend investor is the ability to upgrade your cash flow from your holdings.  How does one "upgrade your cash flow"?  I will begin my lecture...

First, when I purchase a stock for its dividend cash flow, I will typically buy it when it is undervalued/cheap compared to its historical share prices, its industry and top competitors.  Therefore, I hope to get the prime time for the dividend cash flow.  As we know, dividend yield is calculated as this: Dividend Per Share/ Price Per Share.  Therefore, if you get $1.00 per year in Dividends and the price is $10 per share, you are yielding 10% off your stock.  If the stock jumps to $20 per share, you only yield 5%.  This segways into my next step.

So you have bought that great, consistently paying dividend-stock at a special undervalued price.  Now when that price per share starts to rise, the yield/interest is in reverse - it lowers (all else remaining constant, such as dividend payment).  In the meantime, you have noticed another great/sound company that has always paid a strong, consistent dividend that has had their stock hit due to an external factor the company couldn't control.  Therefore, their share price drops and their yield rises.  In fact, their yield now is higher than your price-appreciated stock you currently hold.


Therefore, you have a few options when it comes to dividend investing.  If you have extra cash to invest, you can obviously place it into that new company that you do not current own yet.  If you do not have access to extra funds, you therefore can do this: Sell your stock that you held, which had risen in share price thus has a lower yield.  Then, you can purchase the new company who has had their stock hit and now has a higher dividend yield, thus would provide you more cash flow.  This, in my book, is upgrading your cash flow.  An explanation of the benefits...

The benefits:  You have taken advantage of the stock appreciation from your first purchase.  Therefore, say the stock price you bought in with $1000 was at $10 per share, owning 100 shares that each produce $1 in dividends per year; thus giving you a $100 per year cash flow.  Then, the price jumped to $20, displaying a $2000 market value investment, still owning 100 shares, still having that $100 cash flow.  In the meantime XYZ corporation has had their stock plummet from $20 per share to $10 per share, with each share providing a $1 per year cash dividend.  Therefore, you sell your 100 shares for $2,000.00 (of course brokerage fees and either LT/ST capital gain taxes play in effect) and simultaneously buy XYZ Corporation stock for $10 per share.  This gives you 200 shares at $10 per share and increases your cash flow to $200 per year.  That is a 100 percent return/increase to your cash flow.

Now that is called Upgrading Your Cash Flow.  It does take guts, timing and investor preference to take these actions.  Please consult yourself, your advisers and any other sources of information before making a decision to do such an action as stated above.  I hope that this article has helped explain some techniques that are used in the market that one can possibly take advantage of.  Thanks for your attention and feel free to comment or message if you have any questions.

-Lanny B.


Disclosure: I do not recommend anything that you do not feel comfortable with, as this is your sole decision.  This is actual data, analysis, however I base no investor recommendation.  My direction is different from anyone else's.  Thank you for your understanding.


Picture Source: http://two.leasingnews.org/Placards/index.htm

Monday, December 13, 2010

Dividend Increases

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Today, Pfizer increased its Dividend payout by 11%.  This brings its dividend per share, per quarter to 20 cents.  The reason this excites me is because I hold it in my portfolio and it stems a new lesson that I would like to talk about: Dividend Payout Increases

As we all know, there are two ways we can get a return from stock that we own - Dividends and Capital Appreciation (though you would have to sell your stock to even feel the benefit).  How would you like a cash flow stream from a company's stock that you own, to give you raises every year?  That is basically why I tend to hold Dividend paying Company's stock in my portfolio.  It just makes sense...

For Example: Say if you did own Pfizer and your Dividends normally received from them was $1,000 per year.  Now, from their new dividend increase, you receive $1,110 per year, a nice little $110 raise.  How much work did you have to do for that dividend raise?  Well, if your a small shareholder - besides the research and checking on the company every now and again you really haven't done much work for it.  Also, if you continue to reinvest those dividends, you are now putting more back into your portfolio and owning more of these dividend-paying and dividend-increasing shares; thus adding more to your cash flow.  Another tid-bit, typically when a firm increases their dividend payout - the share price will raise by the annual raise: Example - Pfizer increased their Dividend by 8 cents annually, therefore share price should increase by 8 cents at least (as of market close today 12/13/10 Pfizer finished up 17 cents for a 1% gain).  Therefore, you receive capital appreciate as well from an increase in dividend payout, which fulfills both shareholder returns.

Lessons Described Here: Dividend Paying and Dividend Increasing Companies will further add and grow your cash flow, effortlessly (Less research and keeping up to date with company) growing your portfolios value and possibly raising the value per share in terms of stock price.  The key terminology in the business world is Cash Flow, because that is what primarily determines the value of an asset.  I suggest doing research and finding those great dividend paying company's that annually/frequently increase their dividend payouts.

Disclosure: I do not hold nor recommend anything.  This is actual data, analysis, however I base no investor recommendation.  My position is LONG PFE.  Thank you for your understanding.

Wednesday, December 1, 2010

To Begin a Dividend Portfolio...

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To Begin that Cash Flowing Dividend Portfolio - A great way to start is through a Dividend Aristocrat that is paying a higher yield than the S&P is on average, which is currently 1.85% and has a lower Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E: Which can show undervaluation if low, low among competitors and industry) than the S&P average, which current mean is 16.38.  

What is a Dividend Aristocrat? - "Companies that have had an increase in dividends for 25 consecutive years." Thanks to Investopedia.com for that : )

What a better way to start a portfolio than with a company that has always paid a dividend, and not only that, but has INCREASED their payments for 25 years +.

Here is a list of a few companies that have had astounding presence in the world, have a yield larger than the S&P500 average yield and also produce an extremely phenomenal (above 10%) growth rate in their dividend yield

Johnson and Johnson (JNJ): Current Yield: 3.50%; Dividend Growth Rate Annualized: 14.58%; Dividend Payout Ratio: 44.35%; Price/Earnings: 12.82.  If you would have invested $1,000.00 on 12/1/1985:

Investment Date:Original Shares:Original Value:Current Shares:Current Value:Percent Return:
Dec 1, 198520$ 1,000.00534$ 32,887.963,188.80%

Source: JNJ Investor Relations






Abbott Laboratories (ABT): (Actually just did a huge investor analysis on this company along with 2 big competitors!) Current Yield: 3.80%; Dividend Growth Rate Annualized: 12.89%; Dividend Payout Ratio: 58.09%; Price/Earnings: 15.85
If You would have invested $1,000.00 on 11/30/1990 (As far as their Investors page allowed) Source: Abbott Investors: 
Date Requested11/30/90
Closing Price$10.25
Split Adjustment Factor4.2562:1
Shares Today975.64
Investment Value$45,864.76
Percent Change358.65




Cincinnati Financial (CINF): Current Yield: 5.30%; Dividend Growth Rate Annualized: 9.80%; Dividend Payout Ratio: 52.63%; Price/Earnings: 10.13; If you would have invested $1,000.00 on 11/29/1985.  Sources: CINF Investors:
Date Requested11/29/1985
Closing Price$5.10
Shares Today1,959.32
Investment Value$60,366.67
Percent Change503.6


WOW!  The power of compounding and starting early pays off tremendously, especially in evidence from these 3 company's above.  These 3 are just some great examples that show undervaluation compared to the S&P 500 as a whole, a greater dividend yield than the market on average and also shows how consistent their dividend growths have been for over 25 years.  The reason I display these to possibly start a portfolio, is because they have extreme history on consistency and helps to possibly lower investor risk.  If you are looking for cash flow to build up over time, these dividend paying firms have proven their ability to do so.  Like I said, if you have one of these stocks in a DRIP (Dividend Reinvestment Plan), you will reap the benefits.  I hope you enjoyed this article and please do not hesitate to contact me and/or comment below.

-Lanny B.

Disclosure: I do not hold nor recommend anything.  This is actual data, analysis, however I base no investor recommendation.  However, I personally would add/start a position on these firms, however my direction is different from anyone else's.  Thank you for your understanding.
 
Picture Compliments to: http://risalta10.guihospeda.com/johnson-and-johnson.html, http://planowatchdog.com/, http://www.warconstruction.com/businessPartners.aspx

Monday, November 29, 2010

As the Market Crumbles...

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Hey Everyone! As we have seen, the market has been stumbling, crumbling, falling, well - you know the rest. This is due to the European Bailout of Ireland and other talks across the world regarding different issues happening. What does that mean for an investor? Well - Bargains! This has been great for investors to pick up discounted stocks that produce even higher yields than before due to the decline. Who do I have my eyes on?

LMT: Lockheed Martin: Currently Trading at $68.20, it just boosted its dividend this quarter, and has done so for the last 10 years Plus! The dividend per share is at $3.00, giving it a 4.40% dividend yield. They are near their 52 week low and are actually a few dollars away from their 5year+ Low! Price to Earnings (P/E) is only 9.63 (I like something below 15 or the average of the S&P 500 Index) with an incredible earnings per share of $7.08. With a $3.00 dividend divided by a $7.08 earnings per share, this gives LMT a payout ratio of 42.4% (I like somewhere between a 40 an 60% range). This shows that they retain earnings for growth opportunities, but also love to give back to their shareholders. Lockheed Martin is in the aeronautics, defense, security sector, with its biggest competitor (according to Google Finance) being Boeing. Now why don't I talk about Boeing? I have nothing against them, but as a dividend investor, Lockheed provides a greater dividend yield and does have proof of incredible dividend growth over the longterm.

I will continue to keep my eye on Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) and also a few other companies such as Nokia (NOK) and Banco Santander (STD - Bank in Madrid Spain, has been hit hard due to the fact it is apart of the European Union countries, etc).

Disclosure: I do not make recommendations. This is simply full analysis of Companies. However, Lockheed Martin Corporation is priced right for me and I would consider placing a large investment into them, holding a Long Position. All information is from Google Finance as of 6:00 PM on 11/29/2010.  Thank you.

Saturday, November 27, 2010

My Dividend Portfolio as of November 27, 2010

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Today I will display my holdings for individual stocks, their yields and annualized incomes from the stock. (The annualized portion is based on the amount of shares I own X the annual dividend per share.)
I will be displaying this on a frequent basis to show growth in my portfolio from DRIP and other purchases and analysis' that I make.  I am using this as a tool, also, for myself to see how my portfolio is growing.



Symbol Yield Current ShP Annual Income
PFE 4.37% $16.49 38.04
CIM 17.73% $4.06 32.51
NGG 7.84% $45.24 62.93
V 0.79% $75.48 3.35
HRB 4.70% $12.77 9.48
ANH 14.08% $6.96 7.84
HIMX 11.57% $2.16 8.25
PRGN 4.26% $3.52 1.50
SHMR 5.83% $13.78 8.04
TOTAL 6.19% 171.93




As you can see, I have a mix of stocks, some speculative some very sound, but it is getting diverse.  I have been choosing individual stocks for about 6 months now and am seeing dramatic results in terms of share price return as well as dividend income growth.  I currently stand at $171.93 in dividend income per year and will post again in December to see if that number has grown - to which I will describe the growth: Dividend Reinvestment or New Funding from my own pocket for growth.

From seeing this simple chart, I see that Visa is a relatively low yield, to which I am not happy.  I purchased them in the mid-upper $60 range and will wait to see what the price does.  They did raise their dividend by 20% for this recent quarter from 12.5 cents to 15 cents per share.  I know it doesn't seem like a lot, but a 20% growth rate is phenomenal.  The reason why I hold on to them is because I feel there is more price appreciation that is there and I want to see if they will continue to make this growth pattern.

Pfizer: PFE, will be paying me dividends this December, as well as Visa (V), and Paragon Shipping (PRGN).  Thus, with dividend reinvestment, this should automatically raise my annualized dividend income, just as long as they continue to make at least the same dividend payment next quarter; this is due to the fact through Dividend Reinvestment I will be owning more shares.

I will report back on another analysis, enjoy the rest of Thanksgiving Break everyone!

-Lanny B.

Disclosure: I do not recommend any particular company. I am therefore Long on all stocks above, but do not provide this chart as a recommendation of any sort. Do your due diligence and find what is suitable for you. Thank You : )